About: Moran process

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Stochastic process used in biology to describe finite populations

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  • procés estocàstic utilitzat en biologia per descriure poblacions finites (ca)
  • proceso estocástico usado en biología (es)
  • stochastic process used in biology to describe finite populations (en)
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  • For the expected value the calculation runs as follows : For the variance the calculation runs as follows, using the variance of a single step : ---- (en)
  • The mean time spent in state j when starting in state i which is given by : Here denotes the Kroenecker delta. This recursive equation can be solved using a new variable so that and thus and rewritten : The variable is used and the equation becomes : Knowing that and : we can calculate : : Therefore : with . Now , the total time until fixation starting from state i, can be calculated : ---- (en)
  • Also in this case, fixation probabilities can be computed, but the transition probabilities are not symmetric. The notation and is used. The fixation probability can be defined recursively and a new variable is introduced. : Now two properties from the definition of the variable can be used to find a closed form solution for the fixation probabilities: : Combining and : : which implies: : This in turn gives us: : ---- (en)
  • For the expected value the calculation runs as follows. Writing : Writing and , and applying the law of total expectation, Applying the argument repeatedly gives or For the variance the calculation runs as follows. Writing we have : For all , and are identically distributed, so their variances are equal. Writing as before and , and applying the law of total variance, : If , we obtain : Rewriting this equation as : yields : as desired. ---- (en)
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  • For a mathematical derivation of the equation above, click on "show" to reveal (en)
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  • background-color: #f2dfce; color:black; (en)
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  • Moran process (en)
  • Proceso de Moran (es)
  • Processo de Moran (pt)
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