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Decision-theoretic principle that an agent who would take a certain action if event 𝐸 has occurred as well as if the negation of 𝐸 has occurred, should also take that same action if they know nothing about 𝐸

Property Value
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  • la principo, ke aganto, kiu farus iun agon, se event 𝐸 okazus, kaj la saman agon, se la negacio de 𝐸 okazus, faru la agon, eĉ se ŝ/li scias nenion pri 𝐸 (eo)
  • decision-theoretic principle that an agent who would take a certain action if event 𝐸 has occurred as well as if the negation of 𝐸 has occurred, should also take that same action if they know nothing about 𝐸 (en)
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  • p. 21 (en)
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  • A businessman contemplates buying a certain piece of property. He considers the outcome of the next presidential election relevant. So, to clarify the matter to himself, he asks whether he would buy if he knew that the Democratic candidate were going to win, and decides that he would. Similarly, he considers whether he would buy if he knew that the Republican candidate were going to win, and again finds that he would. Seeing that he would buy in either event, he decides that he should buy, even though he does not know which event obtains, or will obtain, as we would ordinarily say. It is all too seldom that a decision can be arrived at on the basis of this principle, but except possibly for the assumption of simple ordering, I know of no other extralogical principle governing decisions that finds such ready acceptance. (en)
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  • Sure-thing principle (en)
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